Christian J. Feldbacher-Escamilla, Alexander Gebharter: Abductive Concept Formation Bayesian Style
Schurz (2008) proposed a justification of abducing theoretical concepts on the basis of the Reichenbachian principle of the common cause. In this talk we take up the idea of combining creative abduction with causal principles and model instances of successful creative abduction within a Bayes net framework. We identify necessary conditions for such inferences and investigate their unificatory power. We also sketch several interesting applications of modeling creative abduction Bayesian style. In particular, we discuss use-novel predictions, confirmation, and the problem of underdetermination in the context of abductive inferences.
Schurz (2008) proposed a justification of abducing theoretical concepts on the basis of the Reichenbachian principle of the common cause. In this talk we take up the idea of combining creative abduction with causal principles and model instances of successful creative abduction within a Bayes net framework. We identify necessary conditions for such inferences and investigate their unificatory power. We also sketch several interesting applications of modeling creative abduction Bayesian style. In particular, we discuss use-novel predictions, confirmation, and the problem of underdetermination in the context of abductive inferences.